Reactions to President Obama’s speech at West Point have
been mixed to say the least. In some cases surprising—coming from some camps—in
many other cases predictable. Reactions have run the gamut from predictions of
failure on one side to depressing disappointment on the other, to the coming
together of strange bed fellows
Our reaction is one of critical caution.
As we have covered in our radio program (“Foreign Policy and
You”), American involvement in Afghanistan is a complex situation, made
complicated by the nature of our domestic politics. The president—any
president—is caught in the middle.
On the nature and style of the speech it can be said that it
was at times too political, and although the topic was by nature somber the
tone was unnecessarily too dour also. Unfortunately, the president who promised
to do away with old style politics could not help himself to try to appease the
vocal base. For that purpose, the jabs at his predecessor were not missing.
That was disappointing for the kind of statesmanship which was required for the
occasion.
But why did it take 100 days to say the same things he said
in March? To many observers, the president was simply just trying to appear
deliberative, thoughtful and playing to his campaign image and promises that he
would take his time, in consultation with others, before sending Americans to
war.
But the inevitable decision had already been made apparently
even before he came to the White House, at least in March. The president ran on
a campaign that he had a better plan than Bush, and a better plan than McCain.
He gave us the impression that he would hit the ground running on Afghanistan.
Now it appears that to put some distance between him and
anything that would give the impression of recognition of President Bush’s
correctness, or of continuity and agreement with his policies, President Obama
simply stretched taking a decision that needed to be implemented immediately upon
assuming his role as Commander-in-Chief. More than 100 Americans have been
killed in Afghanistan under his command waiting for his decision.
And we still do not have a comprehensive strategy for
Afghanistan and the region, at least not publicly. Nor do we have, nor should
we expect a public admission from the president that “the surge” in Iraq, which
he was against during the campaign, was a success. Such is the case that he has
decided to try it in Afghanistan.
But as we have said before, the president appears as not
having a clear grasp of the concept of "strategy"; nor of the
difference between “tactical” and “strategic”. While he calls his plan “strategy” it is in fact a political
device to please to crowds in his domestic audience. The plan is in fact half
escalation, half continuity, half muddling of notions to give the impression of
a thoughtful plan for withdrawal.
But two major contradictions are still puzzling. If
Afghanistan is so crucial to American security, a “war of necessity” why a deadline
based not on victory but based mainly on a chronological time-line? How are we going to motivate people in
Afghanistan to come over to the good side if we are also telling them that
after a certain time they risk to be left on their own?
The same astounding ignorance on military matters and
geopolitics we saw during the Bush administration coming from the so-called
"anti-war" movement is manifest again, this time in full
ridicule. The selective pacifists, who at the drop of a hat would demand
an invasion of Darfur or Haiti, are the same ones who kept quiet all through
the presidential campaign when their candidate stated very clearly that
Afghanistan was "a war of necessity". They are also the same ones who
have been in monastic silence while civilians in Afghanistan have been killed
by U.S. attacks, and in fact think that the use of drones alone is the way to
go.
President Obama seemed to be in pain, timidly trying to
explain to the American people especially to an infantile left, the reasons for
his “strategy”. Calls for “an exit
strategy”—an irrational code phrase for irresponsible quitting, disguised in
military garb—continues from the same camp. His speech has pleased
nobody in his base, while receiving some cautious accolades from unexpected and
strange bedfellows.
As David Sanger, of The Washington Post, reminds us
President Obama “strongly opposed President Bush’s surge in Iraq during his
presidential campaign” and even now “has never publicly acknowledged that it
was largely successful.” But in a
meeting with his aides more than a month ago he told them “It turned out to be
a good thing.”
Regardless of the political motivations of the president at
least he has honored the requests from his commanders on the field and,
although perhaps too little too late, it is a campaign promised fulfilled.
Let’s hope that between the speech and the time the counteroffensive begins the
situation in Afghanistan doesn’t deteriorate to the point that more troops
would be required in the end.
As we have said before President Obama started his campaign
with a wrong premise of dividing a larger war declared against us into two
wars, the bad one "of choice" in Iraq, and the good one "of
necessity" in Afghanistan. That went well during the campaign but now reality
hits the road.
Cautious hope is requested. President Obama made a choice by
distancing himself from Bush, by failing to acknowledge his success. By failing
to educate the American people on the real geopolitical and comprehensive
strategy needed for American security he also missed an opportunity to become a
statesman, a national leader. He chose to split the domestic political
differences down the middle. Now Afghanistan it’s all his own.
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